Marques Bolden Scouting Report

CONTEXT

  • Marques Bolden was the 16th-ranked prospect in the 2016 high school class[1] but logged only 157 minutes in his first year at Duke, missing the first month due to injury and then struggling to make a positive impact once he did get on the court.
    • He averaged just 6.5 minutes per game as a freshman and logged more than seven minutes in just one of his last 12 appearances in the season.
  • The 19-year-old[2] is off to a much better start as a sophomore, having already logged 151 minutes in his first 12 appearances over the first month-and-a-half.
  • The six-foot-11 center is a bruising old school type who is only effective near the basket on both ends, yet to develop perimeter skills or to show enough nimbleness to defend above the foul line.
  • Though the pro game is going away from players with his profile, dominant forces near the goal can still have a small role in the backend of the rotation. But they have to be dominant. Bolden is not there yet but players with his combination of size and strength at his age are the ones with a shot of developing into such types down the line.

SIZE & STRENGTH

  • Bolden uses the strength in his 245-pound frame to get a deep seal in the low post consistently and relies on power moves to back his way into close-range looks.
  • 50% of his live ball attempts have been at the basket this season and he’s converted them at a 70% clip[3].
    • Disappointingly, he’s only averaging 3.7 foul shots per 40 minutes[4], though.
  • Bolden is not a high energy big but can set inside position in the offensive glass and has a seven-foot-six wingspan[5] to rebound outside of his area – collecting 13.5% of Duke’s misses when he’s been on the floor this season.
    • He’s shown a decent second jump but doesn’t have much lift going back up strong in a crowd – converting his seven putback attempts at only a 60% clip.
  • Bolden can hold his ground in the post and is a tough presence to finish around when he is well set, given his decent quickness elevating off two feet out of a standstill position and his nine-foot-four standing reach.
    • He’s averaged 3.2 blocks per 40 minutes this season.
    • Thanks to his effectiveness close to the basket, Bolden is second on the team in defensive rating among rotation players[6].
  • Bolden is attentive to his boxout responsibilities but doesn’t pursue the ball with a lot of intensity often – collecting just 16.6% of opponents’ misses when he’s been on the floor.

SKILL LEVEL & MOBILITY

  • He’s yet to show a particularly diverse set of post moves in terms of working his man out of position patiently with shot fakes, head fakes and spins. His footwork isn’t all that fluid either.
  • His touch on turnaround hooks is iffy, as he’s converted his 20 shots away from the rim at a 30% clip.
    • He’s also missed six of his 14 foul shots this season.
  • Bolden is not a very good option as pick-and-roll finisher. He is a good screener who looks to draw contact but doesn’t roll hard to the basket often and can’t play above the rim as a target for lobs going up in traffic, though it’s fair to point out Duke doesn’t space the floor very well, rarely stretching Marvin Bagley, III or Javin DeLaurier out to the three-point line when one of the two is out there with him.
    • Bolden is more effective setting ball-screens to roll into post position.
  • He is yet to show much of anything in terms of shooting range or being able to facilitate offense from the elbows.
  • Given the specificity of how he can make a positive impact, Bolden has the second worst offensive rating on the team among rotation players.
  • Bolden isn’t all that quick coming off the weak-side in help-defense to challenge shots at the basket.
    • Often a step too late and prone to biting on shot fakes, Bolden is averaging five personal fouls per 40 minutes.
  • He hasn’t yet developed feel for making preventive rotations and keeping dribble drivers from getting to the basket in the first place.
  • Given his frame and iffy mobility, Bolden is not suited for guarding pick-and-rolls above the foul line, nor does he project as an asset to pick up smaller players on switches.
  • He struggles to closeout to the perimeter, so matching up with stretch big men figures to be a problem as well.

[1] According to ESPN.com

[2] DOB: 4/17/1998

[3] According to hoop-math

[4] According to sports-reference

[5] According to Draft Express

[6] According to sports-reference

READ MORE: Wendell Carter, Jr. | Marvin Bagley, III

EDITOR’S NOTE: Rafael Uehara is the managing editor of ‘Basketball Scouting’. More of his work can be found here or at RealGM, where he is a regular contributor. He can be followed on twitter as @rafael_uehara

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Gary Trent, Jr. Scouting Report

CONTEXT

  • Gary Trent, Jr. was the 8th-ranked prospect in the 2017 high school class[1] but has been asked to play more of a secondary role in his first year at Duke, logging only 18.6% usage-rate[2] in his 394 minutes this season.
  • The six-foot-six, 209-pound wing does almost all of his work on offense as a weak-side floor-spacer who at times participates in the shot creation process with his movement around staggered screens for catches on the side of the floor.
  • In a team with Trevon Duval and Grayson Allen running an offense that prioritizes getting Marvin Bagley, III and Wendell Carter, Jr. touches in the elbows or the low post, Trent, Jr. hasn’t had many opportunities to create for himself or his teammates on the ball, other than emergency situations late in the shot clock.
    • 41 of his 55 field-goals have been assisted.
  • On the other end, the 18-year-old[3] hasn’t been asked to defend on the ball a whole lot, mostly acting as a weak-side defender when Duke plays man-to-man defense.

OFFENSE

  • His shots usually come from him sprinting from the middle of the floor near the baseline to the side off down screens or drifting from the wing to the corner as a spot-up shooter. Duke can also get him a look with one of the guards setting a quick flare screen for him, when a play dies midway through the shot clock.
  • Trent, Jr. is not yet Kyle Korver but has proven he is already decent at taking some of these more difficult types of shots on the move. He can set his feet in a pinch, has a fairly quick trigger off the catch and fully extends himself for a high point in his release. His touch is great as well and he gets good arc in his shot.
  • Trent, Jr. has nailed 38.2% of his 76 three-point shots this season, at a pace of 7.7 such attempts per 40 minutes. He’s also converted 30 of his 32 foul shots.
  • When the opponent has managed to run him off his shot, Trent, Jr. has shown he is coordinated enough to curl around the pick towards the middle of the floor and pull-up for stop-and-pop jumpers off the dribble. He can get enough separation leaning into his man and suddenly stepping back for a fade-away jumper.
  • With two of Marques Bolden, Marvin Bagley III and Wendell Carter, Jr. out there most of the time, Duke doesn’t offer proper spacing for Trent, Jr. to get all the way to the basket regularly.
    • He is taking just 12.3% of his shots at the rim[4] and averaging just 3.2 foul shots per 40 minutes.
  • Trent, Jr. has a so-so handle and is yet to show much in terms of dribble moves or side-to-side shake but can create enough separation in straight-line isolations or get to his spots off the pick-and-roll to get a shot off. He is yet to prove himself an effective shot maker off the bounce, though, having hit just 31.1% of his 45 two-point jumpers.

DEFENSE

  • Trent, Jr. looks like he should be a good defender. His frame is excellent for someone his age, though his six-foot-eight wingspan[5] is somewhat subpar for a wing defender. He’s also a pretty good athlete who is expected to be able to slide laterally well enough to stay in front and contain dribble penetration.
  • Trent, Jr. has the second worst defensive rating on the team among rotation players[6], though.
  • It’s rare to see him defending on the ball and he might be part of the reason why Duke plays a good deal of zone, though this is just speculation.
  • As a weak-side defender, he is yet to show many instincts making plays in the passing lanes or rotating inside to make himself a presence near the basket.
  • His closeouts are only so-so as well. He should be expected to run shooters off their shots more often.
  • As a defensive rebounder, Trent, Jr. has collected just 10.4% of opponents’ misses when he’s been on the floor – a somewhat disappointing mark, though it’s fair to point out Duke has two dominant big men rebounders on the floor at almost all times.

[1] According to ESPN.com

[2] According to sports-reference

[3] DOB: 1/18/1999

[4] According to hoop-math

[5] According to Draft Express

[6] According to sports-reference

READ MORE: Michael Porter, Jr. | Miles Bridges | Grayson Allen

EDITOR’S NOTE: Rafael Uehara is the managing editor of ‘Basketball Scouting’. More of his work can be found here or at RealGM, where he is a regular contributor. He can be followed on twitter as @rafael_uehara

Wendell Carter, Jr. Scouting Report

CONTEXT

If Marvin Bagley III hadn’t reclassified and joined Duke in mid-August, perhaps Wendell Carter, Jr. would be a more prominent pro prospect right now.

In Bagley III’s absence, the six-foot-10 center would have probably benefited from extra touches and more notoriety.

Carter, Jr. could have used that bump in his numbers and perception of his dominance because he isn’t quite a perfect fit for the way the game is played in the NBA these days.

The 259-pounder is not an explosive leaper and can’t play above the rim as a target for lobs, so he figures to be a below average option as a pick-and-roll finisher. He is also yet to prove he can space the floor out to the three-point line in a way that truly threatens the opposing defense.

The 18-year-old[1] has mostly played as an old school type who earns most of his scoring working with his back to the basket, though he has flashed traits of perimeter skills that fit more easily with the modern game in terms of handling the ball to facilitate offense on hand-offs and passing on the move as well.

The same is true on the other end where Carter, Jr. is an effective defender close to the basket but whose frame doesn’t seem to make him suited for picking up smaller players above the foul line often, though he’s done reasonably well when tested.

(Check the rest of the post at RealGM)

[1] DOB: 4/16/1999

Grayson Allen Scouting Report

CONTEXT

  • Grayson Allen has now logged 3,050 minutes of college basketball, which is incredible when you consider there was a real chance of him going pro after his breakout appearance at the 2015 national championship game.
  • It’s hard to say Allen is a substantially better player in his age-22 season[1] than he was then, or even as a senior in relation to his junior year. His physical profile (six-foot-four, 195-pound frame) remains the same as well.
  • Duke has fewer capable off dribble scorers than last season’s team, with Jayson Tatum, Luke Kennard and Frank Jackson all departing. Yet, Allen’s usage rate and assist percentages are down.
  • His role remains as an off guard whose ability to shoot on the move is leveraged mostly by having him work off screens for catches on the side of the floor, but he also runs point when Trevon Duval sits.
  • His defense remains unimpressive at best. Allen looks like he gives a crap out there, which is something, but lacks the physical traits to be an impact player and has never shown particularly impressive instincts executing the scheme.
  • He is probably one of the reasons why Duke has played so much zone defense over the last couple of years.

SHOOTING

  • Allen has been a really sick shooter throughout his college career. He is not just a gunner defenses can’t help off spotting up on the weak-side or lose relocating to open spots around the perimeter but also someone who can make shots on the move — sprinting from one side to the other around staggered screens and to the ball on dribble hand-offs.
  • Allen has nailed 39.5% of his 574 three-point shots over the last three-and-a-half seasons, at a pace of 7.5 such attempts per 40 minutes[2]. He’s converted 83.4% of his 507 foul shots over the same stretch.
  • His release is quite quick coming off these down screens, his balance elevating at a moment’s notice is exceptional and he can make shots without needing to dip for rhythm.
  • His quick trigger projects as an asset to be leveraged as the backscreener popping to the arc on Spain pick-and-rolls and his range could make him a weapon for Spanoulis pick-and-rolls (sprinting from the backline to a hand-off at the top of the key), which the Utah Jazz are starting to make popular in the NBA.
  • Allen is extremely impressive using shot fakes to attack closeouts but is usually looking to set up a stop-and-pop mid-range jumper when he is forced to put the ball on the floor.
  • He can hang dribble into pull-ups OK in instances where he transitions into an isolation after stopping the ball but his MO is mostly a couple of hard dribbles, stopping on a dime and leaning into his defender to create separation for a step-back jumper.
  • Allen has hit 43.2% of his 37 two-point shots away from the rim this season, with just five of his 16 makes assisted[3].

SHOT CREATION

  • Allen does a good job curling around down screens into the middle of the lane and can get to the basket some on straight line drives off a live dribble against a scrambling defense.
  • He is not an explosive player against a set defender in isolation and hasn’t yet developed much strength in his 195-pound frame just bully his way to the rim off the bounce often. He also hasn’t shown much in terms of dribble moves.
  • His handle isn’t particularly impressive, though he has been a low turnover player throughout his time at Duke.
  • Allen has taken just 19.9% of his shots at the basket this season, after that rate was 19.3% a year ago. He is also averaging just 4.3 foul shots per 40 minutes.
  • Allen runs point when Trevon Duval hits the bench and remains an adequate pick-and-roll runner. He manipulates his man around the ball-screen well and can make a quick bounce pass if the defenders overcommit.
  • Allen can get deep into the lane from time to time and make a wraparound pass to a big close by in traffic but he is more often looking to get to his spots for a pull-up and hasn’t yet shown to be an advanced passer in terms of hitting weak-shooters with passes to the opposite end of the floor or tie up the help defender to free his roll man for an alley-oop.
  • Allen does do an excellent job making the extra pass around the horn and on kickouts to the strong-side off a closeout attack.
  • He’s assisted on 20.4% of Duke’s scores when he’s been on the floor this season.

FINISHING

  • Allen is an explosive leaper in the open court but struggles to go up with the same sort of power in the half-court.
  • He’s shown some creativity elevating off the wrong foot to try neutralizing shot blockers in the past but his most capable of way of finishing remains a speed layup.
  • He can adjust his body in the air to attempt reverses but doesn’t have top end athleticism to hang and lacks length to over-extend and complete tough finishes.
  • Allen has shot 63.3% at the rim this season but just nine of his 19 makes have been unassisted. He’s shot just 37.7% on 172 two-point attempts against teams in the Associated Press’ top 25 over his time at Duke[4].

DEFENSE

  • Allen has decent lateral quickness to stay in front or at least attached in isolation and his flops lead to some charges every now and then. But he lacks strength to contain dribble penetration and length to contest shots effectively or reach around to strip his man of the ball.
  • Allen is attentive enough to ice pick-and-rolls and works to go over the screen regularly but doesn’t play with a lot of intensity getting skinny and looking to stay attached, so he is totally dependent on his big preventing the ball-handler from getting downhill right away to make it back in front in a way that doesn’t compromise the scheme behind him.
  • His closeouts are iffy and he lacks the length to contest catch-and-shoot’s effectively anyway.
  • Allen stays on a stance off the ball but isn’t much of an asset in help defense. He lacks the length to make many plays in the passing lanes and hasn’t yet developed an understanding of how to make himself a presence near the basket more often.
  • He’s collected just 8.2% of opponents’ misses when he’s been on the floor this season, but 10.8% over his three-and-a-half year stay at Duke.
  • Allen has the third worst defensive rating on the team among rotation players this season[5].

[1] DOB: 10/8/1995

[2] According to sports-reference

[3] According to hoop-math

[4] According to RealGM

[5] According to sports-reference

READ MORE: What was written on Allen last year.

Editor’s Note: Rafael Uehara is the managing editor of ‘Basketball Scouting’. More of his work can be found here or at RealGM, where he is a regular contributor. He can be followed on twitter as @rafael_uehara

Trevon Duval Scouting Report

CONTEXT

Trevon Duval was the top ranked point guard in the 2017 high school class[1] but hasn’t shined as brightly as peers Collin Sexton and Trae Young over the first month-and-a-half of the season.

His job is more challenging, though.

Differently than Sexton, Duval has four other pro prospects out there on the court with him at any given time, needing to balance the need to keep everyone engaged. And differently than Young, he doesn’t get to monopolize possession of the ball, given the nature of Duke’s offense.

The 19-year-old[2] is responsible for triggering an attack that focuses more heavily on getting the wings catches on the side of the floor off screens and the big men touches in the low post. He handles the ball in high pick-and-roll a fair amount but no one will ever confuse this offense with the Houston Rockets’.

Duval has done a sufficient job keeping things moving as they should. Duke leads the country in adjusted offensive efficiency[3].

But his struggles as a scorer, especially against tougher competition, figure to tank his draft stock somewhat. He is averaging just 1.15 point per shot on 47.3% effective shooting[4].

On other end, Duval plays good individual defense and has a high steal average but is also part of a unity that has struggled to execute help defense principles and been picked apart by top end competition — allowing more than a point per possession in the games against Michigan State, Florida, Indiana and Boston College.

(Check the rest of the post at RealGM)

[1] According to ESPN.com

[2] DOB: 8/3/1998

[3] According to kenpom.com

[4] According to our stats’ database

Marvin Bagley, III Scouting Report

CONTEXT

Even though he was a late addition, not making his decision to reclassify and join the team this year until mid-August, Duke wasted no time incorporating Marvin Bagley III and making him their center of gravity on offense. He leads the team in usage-rate among rotation players, at 26.8%[1], and getting him the ball tends to be the Duke’s priority on every other possession.

Though he projects as a center in the pros, the six-foot-11, 234-pounder has played just about every minute this season with another true big man in the lineup. As a result, opponents have matched up their stronger big on the pure center and often designated lighter, smaller types to guard Bagley III, which Duke has consistently viewed as an opportunity to explore getting him to work mostly below the foul line.

They haven’t been proven wrong at this level yet, given they’ve won 11 of 12 games so far and the lefty is averaging 27.3 points per 40 minutes on 63.5% effective shooting.

He hasn’t had much opportunity to dive to the basket in pick-and-roll, though, and a lot of the interest in him as a pro prospect surrounds his potential as both a lob finisher and an outside shooter — which hasn’t advanced much, in large part because he is not asked to space the floor a whole lot.

Defensively, the 18-year-old[2] impresses in instances where activity is required of him, which is what to be expected given his remarkable athletic prowess. His defensive box plus minus is positive.

But he needs to develop in more subtle aspects of the game like being more attentive to his boxout responsibilities, acting as a deterrent as the last line of defense and controlling the action in front of him in the pick-and-roll – areas that will become more important when he moves up a level and can no longer solely rely on his athleticism to make a difference.

POST OFFENSE

Bagley III lacks strength to establish a deep seal in the low post, even against switches, and gets consistently pushed further out to just inside the arc. That hasn’t stopped him from putting up the shots he is best at right now, though, whether it’s facing up or with his back to the basket.

He doesn’t have power moves and hasn’t yet shown much dexterity in terms of being able to work his defender patiently with shot-fakes or head-fakes but his feet are light and his touch is tremendous, so his turnaround lefty hooks, while somewhat simplistic, have been very effective.

That said, his go-to move in college has been looking to drive past opposing big men. He is getting the ball in the elbow a ton. His handle is rudimentary at this point of his development, as he is prone to getting the ball stripped in traffic and hasn’t shown much side-to-side shake. But Bagley III has long strides, a spin move and a euro-step to get all the way to the basket more often than not.

At the rim, he hasn’t yet shown much flexibility to hang or adjust his body in the air but is an explosive leaper off one-foot (even in traffic), uses his length well to over-extend and has great touch to score around rim protectors – converting his 91 layup/dunk attempts at a 79.1% clip[3], with 32 of his 72 makes unassisted, at a pace of 3.4 unassisted makes at the rim per 40 minutes.

And against defenders who have managed to stay attached to him or prevent him from taking it to the goal comfortably, Bagley III has even flashed a running floater to score from the in-between area and some ability to make a drop-off or a kick-out on the move – assisting on a not awesome but decent 8.3% of Duke’s scores when he’s been on the floor.

OTHER AREAS OF OFFENSE

Duke doesn’t have him diving hard to the basket a whole lot in pick-and-roll but Bagley III has proven he can play above the rim as a target for lobs.

When he has set high ball-screens, almost always slip screens, his priority has mostly been rolling into post position or popping to a spot in the perimeter for a catch-and-shoot jumper, though.

Bagley III is yet to take meaningful steps forward to prove himself a credible threat as an outside shooter, nailing just eight assisted two-point jumpers and eight three-point shots this season.

Some of the types of shots he’s hit sporadically, a step-in three-pointer as the trailer in the secondary break and quick trigger bombs in the pick-and-pop, still make you hopeful for the sort of shooter he could become with some encouragement.

But other than isolating, Bagley III’s most significant contribution has been on the offensive glass, where he puts his explosive leaping ability to work going up to get the ball at a higher point than his opponents, also possessing a quick second jump to go back up strong and fight for tip-ins or 50-50 balls – collecting 13% of Duke’s misses when he’s been on the floor this season and converting his 26 putback attempts at an 81.8% clip.

DEFENSE

He struggles to hold ground in the post and isn’t very disciplined attending to his boxout responsibilities, though he’s managed to collect 24.1% of opponents’ misses in his 375 minutes thanks to the same attributes that make him effective on the offensive glass.

But his biggest issue has been in pick-and-roll defense.

Bagley III excels picking up smaller players on switches out in space, as he’s able to get down in a stance and slide laterally well enough to keep pace with them on straight line drives in order to intimidate or effectively contest shots.

But when he is asked to drop back, Bagley III always seems kind of lost. He hasn’t yet learned how to control the action in front of him, in terms of finding the right mix between backpedalling to prioritize preventing the ball handler from getting downhill but not giving away so much space that he has such an easy pull-up that most guys at the highest level of college ball can make. Boston College really succeeded in exploring this gap in his game, as it sought to put him in pick-and-roll time and time again in the second half of last week’s upset.

As the last line of defense, Bagley III is yet to develop into a help-defender who can protect the rim by making preventive rotations that keep the dribble driver from getting to the basket in the first place but has shown in bits and pieces that he has room to become that sort of player down the line, especially given his quickness.

Differently than he had shown in high school, Bagley is yet to translate his athleticism into making an impact as a shot blocker, though, which is putting into question his ability to anchor a defense at the next level, as chronicled by The Ringer’s Jonathan Tjarks today.

[1] According to sports-reference

[2] DOB: 3/14/1999

[3] According to hoop-math

Editor’s Note: Rafael Uehara is the managing editor of ‘Basketball Scouting’. More of his work can be found here or at RealGM, where he is a regular contributor. He can be followed on twitter as @rafael_uehara

Marvin Bagley, III Scouting Report

(First posted at RealGM)

CONTEXT

Marvin Bagley III announced on Monday that he’s reclassifying to the 2017 high school class and joining the Duke Blue Devils for next season. The six-foot-11 big man might have to wait a little bit before the NCAA rules him eligible, given he made his decision to move on to college really late in the process, but ESPN’s Jonathan Givony tweeted his father is said to have been keeping his documentation diligently in order and everything should work out in the end.

The expectation is for the 18-year-old[1] Bagley to be one-and-done and join what’s already viewed as a highly touted 2018 NBA Draft class, at least at the very top. Givony released his first mock draft on Tuesday and the lefty is ranked second.

At Sierra Canyon, Bagley had plenty of opportunities to create a shot from the post and the team spaced the floor fairly well around him. But though he flashed his ball skills and coordination on a few face-up drives and in transition, he was not given any chance to create from the perimeter against a set defense in the games against Oak Hill Academy and Nathan Hale – which this evaluation is based on.

Bagley was also not put in the pick-and-roll a whole lot in this game, which was disappointing.

Defensively, his energy and intensity were nice to see. He contested a lot of shots near the basket and worked hard on the glass. Bagley also even flashed some intelligence switching on the fly, which Sierra Canyon did a little bit of – a matchup zone of sorts. There’s still room for him to improve as a positional defender, though, rotating preemptively to keep opponents from getting to the basket to begin with.

ATHLETIC ABILITY

Bagley’s biggest appeal at this point of his development is his agility and coordination, which are above average for someone his size.

Those translate on offense in:

  • his fluid footwork in the post
  • his nice first step and long strides on face-up drives
  • his explosiveness going up to finish strong off one foot or two feet with some space to take flight
  • his ability to adjust his body in the air for reverse finishes
  • his handling of the ball or filling of the lanes on the fast-break
  • his second jump on putback attempts

Defensively, Bagley was very proactive stepping up to protect the front of the basket going up vertically off two feet and coming off the weak-side to block shots off one foot in help-defense. According to d1circuit.com, he blocked 60 shots in 20 appearances for Nike Phamily in the Nike EYBL circuit last month.

Bagley also proved himself attentive to his boxout responsibilities and showed excellent instincts and quickness chasing the ball off the rim — collecting almost nine defensive rebounds per game in the AAU event.

In high school, Sierra Canyon had him hedging-and-recovering against the pick-and-roll and Bagley proved himself quick enough to prevent the ball-handler from turning the corner right away and then getting back to his man in a timely manner.

When he dropped back against dribble drivers who got downhill, Bagley showed he’s able to keep pace with smaller players on straight line drives thanks to his long strides and intimidate or effectively contest shots at the basket.

He wasn’t asked to switch often but has proven when matched up against stretch big men on face-up drives that he can bend his knees to get down in a stance and shuffle his feet laterally to stay in front, so there’s potential for that.

But Bagley doesn’t have elite reach for someone his height. The Draft Express’ archive lists him with only an eight-foot-nine standing reach measured three years ago but given there is no record of him getting taller, it’s fair to assume he hasn’t gotten longer either. And that figures to be a concern as he moves up through the ranks.

His measurements are out of his control, though. An area that needs improvement and he can work on as his body matures is his strength. Bagley has a lean 225-pound frame in the context of his six-foot-11 height. As a result, he gets pushed out of deep position in the post and needs to front the post on the other end.

SKILL LEVEL & BASKETBALL IQ

Without any power moves to speak of as of now, Bagley relies on his skill operating from the low block.

He’s flashed a face-up jumper off a jab-step and a lefty hook off a jump-stop but for the most part likes to face his defender and attempt driving around him. Bagley has a loose handle and is prone to getting the ball stripped from him in traffic but can go around his man due to his quick first step, maintain his balance through contact and shows some nice touch on non-dunk finishes.

There’s plenty of room for refinement, though. Bagley didn’t show much diversity to his post game, in terms or shot fakes or a turnaround fadeaway jumper, and he is extremely left-hand dominant. In an instance where Billy Preston forced him to his right in the game against Oak Hill, Bagley still try a left-handed hook, despite the fact his momentum was against his strong hand and Preston wouldn’t be able to contest him if he had shot with his right hand.

But Bagley is viewed as a potential star prospect because of the glimpses of perimeter skills he’s flashed, which at his combination of size and agility could be difference makers.

He’s proven himself able to grab a defensive rebound, take a few dribble and pass ahead to speed up the pace of the game or go end-to-end and drive at his man one-on-one. He even flashed some passing ability, from the post hitting a cutter off a double team in the game against Oak Hill and on a drop-off against Nathan Hale.

Bagley didn’t run any pick-and-rolls against a set defense or show the ability to shake his defender side-to-side with dribble moves in these two games, though.

The same dynamic is true of his outside jumper. Bagley spaced out to the three-point line when Cody Riley set a ball-screen or posted up, which suggests he has shown such range in practice, and he hit a smooth looking stop-and-pop corner three-pointer off the bounce as his defender eased up his stance against Oak Hill. He elevates off the floor with decent balance, has decent quickness in his release for someone his size and pretty good touch in his shot.

But other than taking a catch-and-shoot corner three relocating off ball movement against Nathan Hale, Bagley wasn’t given the chance to show if he has any versatility to his shot, as he was not put in the pick-and-pop or run off pindown screens, and there is no tangible evidence he is on pace to develop into a real long-range threat in the immediate future, as Bagley hit just 20.9% of his 67 three-point shots and 62.3% of his 199 free throw shots in the EYBL circuit last month.

[1] Who turns 19 only in March

Editor’s Note: Rafael Uehara is the managing editor of ‘Basketball Scouting’. More of his work can be found here or at RealGM, where he is a regular contributor. He can be followed on twitter as @rafael_uehara